Fire Prediction Map January 10, 2020
Date: 10 January 2020
Published by: NSW Rural Fire Service
Fire Spread Prediction for Friday 10 January 2020
Severe to Extreme fire danger was forecast for parts of NSW on 10 January, including southern areas of the state.
Temperatures were forecast to be in the high 30s to low 40s (celsius) with hot, dry north-westerly winds and low humidity. A south-westerly change was forecast to impact the existing inland fires in the afternoon and evening, and the gusty southerly change was expected impact coastal fires from late in the evening, reaching Nowra around midnight. These conditions were expected to make fire behaviour erratic and dangerous.
In anticipation of these dangerous fire conditions the NSW RFS published this map displaying the potential predicted fire spread and the communities that may come under threat from embers or fire fronts.
They warned that other surrounding areas may still come under threat if conditions change, or if fires breach containment lines. New fires may start in these conditions which may threaten you without warning.
Advice for each of the areas of spread:
Potential spread area (red zones) - if your plan is to leave or you are not prepared, you should not be in this area on Friday. Move to a large town outside this area, or if you are on the South Coast, move to an area that has already been burnt or go to the beach. Stay away from the red areas.
Potential ember attack area (speckled red zone) - You are still at risk. If your plan is to leave or you are not prepared, you should not be in this area on Friday. New fires could start and spread quickly. If you are in the general areas identified on this map, be vigilant for new fires that may start well ahead of the fire front.
Imagine that you are on Summer holidays when the NSW RFS publishes a map predicting the area you are in would come under ember attack. What would you do?
Bush fires are volatile and hard to predict.
Around 90 percent of building losses in a bush fire are caused by ember attack.